Uptrend
Dist4

Pillar 1 · Market Health

Market

Market Health
Uptrend
Exp: 80%
SPX 2HR AskSlim
Long-only
IBD Market Pulse
Confirmed uptrend
Intermarket
supportive
0H · 2T
Market Health
Uptrend
Recommended Exposure
80%
Uptrend, power trend off — near-full exposure.
view all rules →
2s10s 0.43HY OAS 2.65%
supportive· 0 headwinds / 2 tailwinds
✓10Y yield +11bp in 4w — within normal range
✓Dollar flat, Gold rising — no divergence

Power-trend checklist

Power trend off

  • Index daily low above the 21-day EMA for ≥ 10 consecutive days
  • 21-day EMA above the 50-day SMA for ≥ 5 days
  • 50-day SMA rising
  • Index closed up on the latest day

Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)

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Market Indicator
IBD Market PulseConfirmed uptrend
  • •+1.9% above the 50-day MA.
  • •Close is above the 21-day EMA; above the 200-day MA.
Index Levels · Distance to Close
Close
26,506.99
21-day EMA
26,274.84+0.9%
50-day SMA
26,012.47+1.9%
200-day SMA
24,397.83+8.6%

Signal Days · 80 sessions

Institutional pressure — the signal is the cluster, not a single day

Watch
Signal types
DDistribution
4/ 5%
avg 2+2
CChurn / Stall
6/ 8%
avg 3+3
FFollow-through
8/ 10%
avg 4+4
Direction
Up days
25/ 31%
avg 13+12
Down days
23/ 29%
avg 10+13
Flat / N/A
14/ 18%
avg 2+12

Seasonality · Jan–Dec

SPX monthly returns · current year / prior year / historical average

2026
2025
Ø 11y
2015–2025
Jan
+1.4
+2.7
+1.4
Feb
-0.9
-1.4
+0.0
Mar
-5.1
-5.8
+0.0
Apr
+10.4
-0.8
+1.1
May
+5.2
+6.2
+1.4
Jun
-2.0
+5.0
+1.5
Jul
+2.2
+3.2
Aug
+1.9
+0.3
Sep
+3.5
-1.5
Oct
+2.3
+1.4
Nov
+0.1
+3.8
Dec
-0.1
-0.1
SPX monthly return · 2026 live · avg = Ø 11 Jahre (2015–2025)

Detail — last 4 months

Δ% vs prior session · D = distribution · C = churn · F = follow-through

Jun 2026
Mo
Tu
We
Th
Fr
1
+0.4
2
+0.0
3
-0.9
4
-0.1
5D
-4.2
8
+0.9
9D
-1.0
10
-2.0
11F
+2.5
12C
+0.3
15F
+3.1
16D
-1.1
17D
-1.3
18F
+1.9
19
22
-1.3
23D
-2.2
24D
-0.4
25
-0.5
26D
-0.2
29
+2.1
30F
+1.5
Jul 2026
Mo
Tu
We
Th
Fr
1
-0.7
2D
-0.8
3
6
+1.1
7D
-1.2
8
+0.2
9
+1.3
10
+0.3
13D
-1.6
14
+0.9
15
+0.6
16D
-1.5
17
-1.4
20
-0.1
21F
+1.3
22
-0.6
23D
-2.1
24
-0.6
27C
-0.2
28D
-0.2
29
-1.7
30F
+2.8
31
+1.0
Aug 2026
Mo
Tu
We
Th
Fr
3
+2.1
4
+2.6
5
-0.8
6
-0.1
7
+1.3
10
-0.3
11D
-0.6
12
+0.5
13
+0.8
14
-0.3
17D
-0.3
18
-1.3
19C
+0.2
20D
-1.0
21
+0.4
24
-0.8
25
+0.7
26
-0.1
27F
+1.6
28D
-0.5
31
-0.1
Sep 2026
Mo
Tu
We
Th
Fr
1
-1.0
2C
+0.5
3F
+1.4
4
-0.3
7
8
9
10
11
14
15
16
17
18
21
22
23
24
25
28
29
30
DdistributionCchurn / stallFfollow-through normal· 5+ distribution days in ~25 sessions = institutions selling.