Uptrend
Dist4

Paper Portfolio

What Would We Have Bought?

Sep 7
C – Breakout / IBD Setup · $100k paper account
Start Capital
$100,000
End Capital
$110,575
Total P&L
+10.6%
Trades
35
Win Rate
37.1%
Avg Win
$2,630
Avg Loss
-$1,073
C – Breakout / IBD Setup
Breakout + Pullback · max 5 positions · signal-gated
Trades
35
Win Rate
37%
Net P&L
$10,575
Avg Hold
31d
A – Long Hold
Top-15 quality · monthly rebalance · trailing stop
No trades
B – Swing Reversal
Higher Low after >25% drawdown · thin sample
NO-GO
Shadow mode — no trades
13 winners · 22 losers
Bar color: Winner – Breakout (C) Winner – Pullback (D) Winner – Long Hold (A) Winner – Swing Reversal (B, thin sample) Loser (any strategy)

Holding Duration Overview

each row = one trade; bar = holding period within the year

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
ASML
ASML
ASML Holding NV
Breakout
$1211.22
$1345.69
+$2,152
67d
+11.1%
Trend Exit
VOD
VOD
Vodafone Group plc ADR
Breakout
$13.46
$14.46
+$1,485
64d
+7.4%
Trend Exit
SE
SE
Sea Ltd ADR
Breakout
$142.38
$133.52
-$1,240
3d
-6.2%
Trend Exit
LLY
LLY
Lilly(Eli) & Co
Pullback
$1077.00
$1038.40
-$695
9d
-3.6%
Trend Exit
TEVA
TEVA
Teva- Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd ADR
Breakout
$32.87
$32.91
+$24
56d
+0.1%
Trend Exit
NWG
NWG
NatWest Group Plc ADR
Pullback
$17.33
$16.66
-$773
32d
-3.9%
Trend Exit
VST
VST
Vistra Corp
Breakout
$167.55
$156.81
-$1,278
4d
-6.4%
Trend Exit
ING
ING
ING Groep NV ADR
Pullback
$28.54
$28.06
-$336
39d
-1.7%
Trend Exit
PHG
PHG
Koninklijke Philips NV ADR
Breakout
$31.83
$29.28
-$1,601
23d
-8.0%
−8% Stop
NFLX
NFLX
Netflix Inc
Breakout
$95.26
$92.44
-$589
53d
-3.0%
Trend Exit
MRVL
MRVL
Marvell
Breakout
$87.93
$109.91
+$4,989
28d
+25.0%
+25% Target
TTE
TTE
TotalEnergies SE
Breakout
$89.29
$86.66
-$586
68d
-3.0%
Trend Exit
CAVA
CAVA
Cava Group Inc
Pullback
$88.04
$81.00
-$1,598
30d
-8.0%
−8% Stop
COHR
COHR
Coherent Corp
Pullback
$277.30
$403.71
+$9,102
35d
+45.6%
Climax Top
HSBC
HSBC
HSBC Holdings plc ADR
Breakout
$89.23
$86.16
-$688
62d
-3.4%
Trend Exit
WELL
WELL
Welltower Inc
Pullback
$214.52
$197.36
-$1,596
33d
-8.0%
−8% Stop
SE
SE
Sea Ltd ADR
Breakout
$98.57
$90.68
-$1,594
1d
-8.0%
−8% Stop
BABA
BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd ADR
Breakout
$140.98
$129.70
-$1,590
7d
-8.0%
−8% Stop
EQNR
EQNR
Equinor ASA ADR
Pullback
$39.22
$38.81
-$209
4d
-1.1%
Trend Exit
AMZN
AMZN
Amazon.com Inc
Pullback
$263.50
$245.22
-$1,371
18d
-6.9%
Trend Exit
CRCL
CRCL
Circle Internet Group Inc
Pullback
$116.12
$106.83
-$1,598
4d
-8.0%
−8% Stop
NET
NET
Cloudflare Inc
Pullback
$216.25
$270.31
+$4,974
58d
+25.0%
+25% Target
APP
APP
Applovin Corp
Breakout
$520.91
$479.24
-$1,583
15d
-8.0%
−8% Stop
AAPL
AAPL
Apple Inc
Breakout
$309.63
$284.86
-$1,585
24d
-8.0%
−8% Stop
IBKR
IBKR
Interactive Brokers Group Inc
Pullback
$88.34
$87.75
-$133
55d
-0.7%
Trend Exit
BCS
BCS
Barclays plc ADR
Pullback
$25.24
$26.49
+$990
69d
+5.0%
Trend Exit
UBS
UBS
UBS Group AG
Pullback
$48.32
$55.38
+$2,916
84d
+14.6%
Still Open
BKNG
BKNG
Booking Holdings Inc
Breakout
$181.20
$193.29
+$1,330
71d
+6.7%
Still Open
TTE
TTE
TotalEnergies SE
Breakout
$87.04
$84.18
-$655
5d
-3.3%
Trend Exit
ABNB
ABNB
Airbnb
Breakout
$152.01
$181.94
+$3,921
37d
+19.7%
Still Open
AMZN
AMZN
Amazon.com Inc
Breakout
$278.29
$256.03
-$1,580
24d
-8.0%
−8% Stop
GBTC
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust
Breakout
$55.67
$61.73
+$2,176
15d
+10.9%
Still Open
DEO
DEO
Diageo plc ADR
Pullback
$92.60
$89.19
-$733
4d
-3.7%
Still Open
CRWD
CRWD
CrowdStrike
Pullback
$212.50
$213.10
+$56
0d
+0.3%
Still Open
SHOP
SHOP
Shopify Inc
Pullback
$144.55
$145.09
+$75
0d
+0.4%
Still Open
Total (35 trades shown)
$10,575
31d